Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.512653 1.580880 1.650883 1.728203 1.811354 1.898247 1.996121
2026-01-04 1.367301 1.461400 1.561440 1.676174 1.804701 1.944913 2.110366
2026-01-11 1.278631 1.392805 1.517937 1.666272 1.838663 2.034386 2.275881
2026-01-18 1.215377 1.346163 1.493427 1.673321 1.889671 2.144859 2.473886
2026-01-25 1.147819 1.288954 1.451489 1.655170 1.907518 2.215449 2.628815
2026-02-01 1.082276 1.229317 1.401873 1.622858 1.903791 2.257070 2.749026
2026-02-08 1.012740 1.160607 1.336711 1.566161 1.863979 2.247860 2.799163
2026-02-15 0.965331 1.115998 1.298076 1.539443 1.859409 2.282500 2.910208
2026-02-22 0.930705 1.085121 1.274404 1.529628 1.875174 2.344100 3.063740
2026-03-01 0.894201 1.049986 1.243248 1.507638 1.872164 2.378224 3.178730
2026-03-08 0.846168 0.998218 1.188339 1.450943 1.817449 2.334169 3.168811
2026-03-15 0.822105 0.976073 1.170702 1.443161 1.830005 2.387535 3.315830
2026-03-22 0.804087 0.962628 1.165897 1.455505 1.876196 2.500830 3.585504
2026-03-29 0.773591 0.931810 1.136814 1.432776 1.870229 2.534887 3.728200
2026-04-05 0.754771 0.915693 1.126800 1.436398 1.903679 2.633968 4.001161
2026-04-12 0.740553 0.905086 1.123703 1.449608 1.952495 2.762674 4.351486
2026-04-19 0.719632 0.884552 1.105876 1.440092 1.964967 2.831666 4.598406
2026-04-26 0.695787 0.859144 1.080122 1.417298 1.954473 2.859739 4.766545
2026-05-03 0.666690 0.825578 1.041591 1.373373 1.906827 2.817741 4.778262
2026-05-10 0.646626 0.803893 1.019191 1.352908 1.896394 2.841843 4.940628
2026-05-17 0.631809 0.789014 1.005940 1.345742 1.907445 2.906212 5.207542
2026-05-24 0.614784 0.770495 0.986720 1.328289 1.899746 2.934204 5.393192
2026-05-31 0.590198 0.740675 0.950127 1.282053 1.839922 2.856728 5.303189